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Publish near-term unemployment outlook from the Okun satellite - #128

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vahid-ahmadi merged 2 commits into
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unemployment-satellite-round
Jul 28, 2026
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Publish near-term unemployment outlook from the Okun satellite#128
vahid-ahmadi merged 2 commits into
mainfrom
unemployment-satellite-round

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  • Archive round 2026-07-28/okun-unemployment.json: 4-quarter unemployment
    path derived from the archived 2026-07-21 boe-svar GDP round through the
    validated Okun mapping (boe-var-model#8), capped at the horizon the
    rolling-origin validation supports, caveats embedded in the artifact
  • outturns.json gains the MGSX source so future releases score the round
  • Homepage at-a-glance: unemployment cell now shows the 2026Q2 satellite
    forecast instead of 'not forecast by the suite yet'
  • /validation/: unemployment-satellite paragraph with the honest skill
    summary and a link to the full validation artifact

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 noreply@anthropic.com

- Archive round 2026-07-28/okun-unemployment.json: 4-quarter unemployment
  path derived from the archived 2026-07-21 boe-svar GDP round through the
  validated Okun mapping (boe-var-model#8), capped at the horizon the
  rolling-origin validation supports, caveats embedded in the artifact
- outturns.json gains the MGSX source so future releases score the round
- Homepage at-a-glance: unemployment cell now shows the 2026Q2 satellite
  forecast instead of 'not forecast by the suite yet'
- /validation/: unemployment-satellite paragraph with the honest skill
  summary and a link to the full validation artifact

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
@vahid-ahmadi
vahid-ahmadi merged commit 2894c80 into main Jul 28, 2026
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vahid-ahmadi deleted the unemployment-satellite-round branch July 28, 2026 09:00
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