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volatility-forecasting

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An autonomous risk-overlay system simulating a hedge fund Investment Committee. Uses Multi-Agent Architecture (LangGraph) to validate algorithmic signals by combining deep-learning volatility forecasts (VolSense) with fundamental semantic reasoning and CVaR constraints.

  • Updated Dec 11, 2025
  • Python

Advanced stock forecasting system using LSTM neural networks with real-time sentiment analysis. Predicts price movements and volatility by combining technical indicators, news sentiment from Finnhub API, and multivariate analysis. Features dual LSTM models, intelligent alerts, and comprehensive risk assessment for informed trading decisions.

  • Updated Nov 12, 2025
  • Jupyter Notebook

Independent R&D bridging classical financial econometrics and modern continuous-time deep learning. Projects on PINNs for Value-at-Risk and Neural SDEs for density forecasting. "Complexity must earn its place."

  • Updated May 12, 2026
  • Jupyter Notebook

Regime-conditional volatility forecasting framework using HAR-RV as a baseline and XGBoost on either residual vol or directly on log(RV), implemented for Germany and France electricity markets. Metric: Spearman ranking. Model validation and market-neutral cross-country trading strategy.

  • Updated Apr 5, 2026
  • Jupyter Notebook

📈 Forecast stock prices and volatility using LSTM neural networks and sentiment analysis for informed trading decisions and risk assessment.

  • Updated May 12, 2026
  • Jupyter Notebook

Bachelor's thesis (Double degree - University of Mannheim & Peking University). Tests whether crypto microstructure features improve GARCH-based stablecoin volatility forecasting using a hybrid deep learning approach. No ARCH effects found in sample, however model identified microstructure as significant, full analysis in the postmortem

  • Updated May 10, 2026
  • Jupyter Notebook

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